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Saturday, September 3, 2011

5 Trends that will RE-DEFINE our FUTURE


5 Trends that will RE-DEFINE our FUTURE



1.    TELECOM Revolution has increased multi-fold the SPEED of CHANGE in the last 10 years -Industries which cannot keep up will be wiped out.

Lets take the example of 2 industries
a.    400 year old print industry is under threat
While players like google are making all books and information electronic, e-ink like amazon kindle are making print redundant. And guess what happens next – while companies like Amazon gain, others such as HP (whose significant business is printing) – get into trouble.

b.    50 year old TV industry is being re-structured.
10 years ago could you have imagined have a cricket series played by India – only to be watched on TV. The IPL last year in South Africa was a defining moment for India. Not just that, you could also watch it on you-tube.
Traditional industries such at TV are being rewritten by IPTV and mobile -this is being followed by a major budget and an Advertisement Shift from TV to the Internet media.


2.    10 years ago Computing and Communications were separate industries. With the advent of smart phones and tablet computers, there is an everlasting marriage of Computing and communications. As processing power has increased, the next 10 years will involve significant innovations in Data and Tablet led Applications.

Large companies such as HP have had to suddenly shift gears and focus from Hardware to software and applications. Several industries such as healthcare, education, logistics will go through immense transformation in the next 10 years.

3.     If extreme growth happens in one industry, it will open up opportunities in diverse areas

o   When mobile industry grew from … 2 million to 700 million in last 10 years – a lot of other industries were impacted.

10    years ago, we could not do – what we did last year.

We helped a large infrastructure company with assets in 20 states track real time information of filling and utilization of oil using end-users own mobile phones. These end-users were diesel fillers and vehicle drivers. In an industry which spends over 10,000 crores on diesel annually by tracking real time information we were able to provide savings of 20%. This happened in a matter of few months and generated 100s of crores of free cash flow.

This happens by diesel filler owning a basic cell-phone and sending real-time data input via sms– Could you have dreamt of this 10 years ago?

My point is that extreme growth in mobile phones has opened 100s of untapped new opportunities in other industries.


4.    Personalization has never been so important: Unlike computers or the fixed line phones – mobiles have become personalized devices. Identity and personalization will drive growth in the next 10 years – Initiatives such as UID, Microfinance, healthcare, tele education will change the way we work.



5.     Innovation is not always about inventing a new technology – it can be putting together old technologies


a.      What major global event happened on May 2 this year?

o   When Osama Bin Laden was killed by America the first to break the news was not TOI, NDTV or CNN – it was Twitter!!

The point I want to make is --World’s best Media and News companies were not able to compete with the speed and powerof Social Media such as Twitter.

o   Twitter did not have any new Technology – its innovation is in usability

b.      Can you think of the phone you had in 2006?

o   The arrival of iPhone in 2007 brought in new era which set off the smart phone and touch phone revolution

o   iPhone had innovation in usability – it did not have any new Technology

– next 10 years will be about Application of Technology and not inventing core technology.


And finally as individuals, we are still learning to use this effectively

While we keep buying the new gadgets – we are unable to keep up with managing them.
Peter Drucker says best productivity is achieved in un-interrupted work spans of 90 minutes.
            How many of us are able to go 90 minutes without looking at your phone?
 In our blind love for technology, we become addicted and cannot see the point where we start to lose productivity

1 comments:

  1. Actually real facts you've written Mr. Ankur.
    Change in the revolution is the core of any new and better start.

    Telecom revolution is a live example of this change. it is not only me who is saying all this actually yesterday while sitting in the hospital near to my grand-ma, i was traversing through news channel on the television and suddenly i noticed that some MLA's of opposition party were debating on the rise in the electricity prices by Shiela Govt.
    One of the spoke person said when revolution can happen in telecom and a call of Rs. 32 can turned to only 0.30 paisa than why can't this same thing can go up with electricity.

    In a nut-shell i am trying to say that revolution is the key to change and telecom is the best example to look at if some one is really keen to see revolution.

    Ankur Sir you've witten so well in your terms.

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